Juvenile-Disposition
0x7b0dd7174f0ff368a3495c1b7927503fc76ded1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$40.95
Total PnL
$-8.97
Realised
$-10.55
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
14 shares @ 86.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$13.84
$1.84
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
12 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?
6 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.22
$0.42
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$2.64
$0.32
- NO
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$1.94
$0.54
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 98.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$1.62
$0.03
- NO
Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?
1 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$1.26
$0.04
- NO
Will Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$1.04
$0.00
- YES
Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.80Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$12.00Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?$9.99Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?$6.58Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City wins the Premier League?$0.00Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$1.40Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in scoring?$10.05Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?$24.14Apr 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Dong-yeon be elected the next president of South Korea?$11.00Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea?$8.00Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$21.30Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$21.60Apr 7, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$21.60Apr 7, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWas JFK assassination an inside job?$0.00Apr 7, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $3,000.00 again by March 31?$0.00Apr 7, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?$20.06Apr 7, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 again by March 31?$1.00Mar 28, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 again by March 31?$20.00Mar 28, 15:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $206.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 06:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.