Turbulent-Chicken
0x7b10ace6c8cbb6dfbf50cf13c8ded891fd7bd37c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-831.45
Realised
$21.56
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?
6394 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.76
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
4955 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.15
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
1193 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-157.22
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
985 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-20.73
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?
907 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-135.86
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
887 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-178.37
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?
699 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-98.68
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
455 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
385 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.39
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?
368 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$0.00Dec 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$11.70Nov 30, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$11.70Nov 30, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$6.67Nov 30, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$6.67Nov 30, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?$98.49Nov 26, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$56.14Nov 26, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$56.14Nov 26, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$35.39Nov 25, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$35.39Nov 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$59.78Nov 25, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$50.00Nov 25, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$40.00Nov 24, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$25.00Nov 24, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$23.11Nov 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$26.00Nov 24, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$17.42Nov 24, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?$11.00Nov 24, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$120.00Nov 24, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$6.00Nov 24, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $31.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 01:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.