Wallet digest

active

Activity score

66/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$36.11

Total PnL

$-71.89

Realised

$0.40

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 13

YES
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026
$18.87
$8.87
ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Hornets
17 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026
$17.24
$7.24
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
183 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-10.59
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
93 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-14.93
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
74 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-9.97
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
55 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-12.29
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
22 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-9.85
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-4.92

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$4.80Feb 18, 03:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 03:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 03:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$0.00Feb 18, 03:23 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$24.35Feb 18, 03:23 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$12.64Feb 18, 03:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 03:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 03:15 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$15.53Feb 18, 03:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 03:13 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.31Feb 18, 03:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 03:12 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6.04Feb 18, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 03:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 03:09 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$4.80Feb 18, 03:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 03:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$16.53Feb 18, 03:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 03:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 03:00 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry46 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk61 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $7.73
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 17, 21:35 UTC
Last active: Feb 18, 03:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:04:05 UTC·src:Polymarket Data