Faithful-Flight
0x7b12c65ad766ec7be11db2d94445112f33b62bce
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$32.86
Total PnL
$-77.32
Realised
$-21.60
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?
16 shares @ 63.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$10.08
$0.16
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$9.82
$-0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$7.24
$-2.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$5.72
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?
27 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?
23 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.98
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 17?
18 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 1?
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.44
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?
9 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?$5.57Jul 3, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 3?$1.21Jul 3, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$10.10Jul 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 3?$10.16Jul 2, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?$15.28Jul 2, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 4?$9.63Jul 2, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?$8.66Jul 2, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?$10.13Jul 2, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?$5.58Jul 2, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?$10.07Jul 2, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 1?$1.04Jul 1, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 2?$9.77Jul 1, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?$5.69Jul 1, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?$3.68Jul 1, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?$10.05Jun 30, 23:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 30?$2.88Jun 30, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 2?$10.07Jun 30, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 1?$10.13Jun 30, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 30?$7.62Jun 30, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 30?$0.29Jun 30, 15:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $6.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 23:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.