Serene-Dogsled
0x7b21a87c38807645d1eccba8cd0956126044b9b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.25
Realised
$-2.25
Win rate
5%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
101 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
42 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
26 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 13?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 24?$1.01Jul 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 23?$1.29Jul 23, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 23?$1.02Jul 23, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$2.59Jul 22, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$1.00Jul 22, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$0.36Jul 22, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$1.02Jul 21, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 22?$1.04Jul 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$2.30Jul 21, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$1.01Jul 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$1.01Jul 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$1.09Jul 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$1.04Jul 20, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 20?$1.28Jul 20, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 20?$1.05Jul 20, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.37Jul 19, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.92Jul 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.04Jul 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 19?$1.03Jul 18, 17:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 14:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.