Esteemed-Attacker
0x7b2e25e59b8989a6429115dfff8680a98c7b2071
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$17.72
Total PnL
$-41.83
Realised
$-0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?
6 shares @ 92.3¢·now 90.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.53
$-0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.93
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?
2 shares @ 93.8¢·now 93.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
2 shares @ 94.9¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
12 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$2.01Jul 9, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.07Jul 9, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$5.01Jul 8, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.01Jul 7, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.04Jul 7, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.08Jul 7, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.26Jul 6, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.00Jul 6, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$2.01Jul 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$1.01Jul 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?$4.62Jul 6, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?$1.00Jul 5, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?$4.88Jul 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$4.68Jul 5, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$4.85Jul 5, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.01Jul 5, 05:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.93Jul 4, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$1.22Jul 4, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?$1.01Jul 4, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$1.00Jul 4, 14:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.