Medical-Conversion
0x7b3530fc454400f7629da3ad1c9ec8df98f7bb20
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$542.77
Total PnL
$-750.40
Realised
$-31.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?
180 shares @ 62.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$118.00
$5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?
168 shares @ 63.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$115.31
$8.31
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 14?
116 shares @ 74.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$96.46
$10.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?
81 shares @ 61.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$59.47
$9.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?
84 shares @ 51.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$57.33
$14.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?
67 shares @ 52.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$36.45
$1.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 14?
64 shares @ 55.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$35.32
$0.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?
21 shares @ 66.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$19.21
$5.21
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 13?
57 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.03
$-46.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$14.23Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?$14.87Jul 14, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 14?$44.05Jul 14, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?$45.79Jul 14, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?$35.83Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 14?$35.79Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$58.00Jul 14, 01:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 13?$219.06Jul 14, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?$66.20Jul 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?$66.32Jul 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 14?$41.53Jul 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?$41.50Jul 14, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?$48.90Jul 14, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 14?$45.58Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?$50.96Jul 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$50.95Jul 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 13?$47.39Jul 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 13?$148.74Jul 14, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?$42.77Jul 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on July 13?$29.41Jul 13, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $61.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 01:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.