Plump-Prevalence
0x7b3794895bc20b6eff13bd8c4bb53367dcd005e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$43.56
Total PnL
$-847.96
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
4%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-08-21?
8 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$8.00
$2.40
- NO
Will FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-08-21?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$8.00
$0.24
- NO
Stade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$6.60
$1.96
- NO
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Draw at halftime?
8 shares @ 69.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$5.40
$-0.12
- NO
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Neither team to score first?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$4.86
$0.01
- NO
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
8 shares @ 57.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$4.28
$-0.28
- NO
Stade Rennais FC 1901 to score first vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$3.70
$1.56
- NO
Paris Saint-Germain FC to score first vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$2.73
$0.69
- NO
Will Pakhtakor vs. FK Termez Surkhon end in a draw?
8 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?
329 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Pakhtakor win on 2026-08-21?$5.68Aug 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pakhtakor vs. FK Termez Surkhon end in a draw?$2.08Aug 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Termez Surkhon win on 2026-08-21?$7.77Aug 21, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Draw at halftime?$5.61Aug 21, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?$4.66Aug 21, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStade Rennais FC 1901 leading at halftime?$4.74Aug 21, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?$8.00Aug 21, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?$8.00Aug 21, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?$3.30Aug 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?$4.72Aug 21, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?$7.24Aug 21, 01:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Real Santander vs. Barranquilla FC end in a draw?$16.00Aug 21, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill CD Real Santander win on 2026-08-20?$8.00Aug 21, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barranquilla FC win on 2026-08-20?$8.00Aug 21, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Real Santander vs. Barranquilla FC end in a draw?$4.31Aug 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barranquilla FC win on 2026-08-20?$9.63Aug 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Real Santander win on 2026-08-20?$1.34Aug 20, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Real Santander vs. Barranquilla FC end in a draw?$5.28Aug 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CD Real Santander win on 2026-08-20?$6.39Aug 20, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barranquilla FC win on 2026-08-20?$2.40Aug 20, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
139 closed markets, 4% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $3.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 02:11 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.