Monthly-Staff
0x7b3890d8751a7c48e5b6a8041472991782432d42
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$20.24
Total PnL
$-0.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$10.47Jul 21, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.61Jun 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$2.35Apr 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.00Apr 24, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$2.81Apr 13, 12:35 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Apr 12, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win on 2026-03-27?$5.00Apr 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win on 2026-03-27?$2.60Mar 26, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.75Mar 1, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 12?$6.56Mar 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 12?$10.11Jan 11, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.03Jan 11, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 9?$1.11Jan 11, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on December 9?$1.11Dec 9, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.00Nov 4, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.4KOct 26, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$712.54Oct 26, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$6.72Sep 25, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7.24Sep 25, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$13.96Sep 25, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $30.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.