Plastic-Forearm
0x7b57bcf42f8b1cc0c7079e92e5f70d72329a2a86
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$3.34
Total PnL
$-437.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.25
$0.05
- NO
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$1.09
$0.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8AM ET
3400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-103.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1AM ET
2200 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-41.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3AM ET
2000 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-71.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7AM ET
1800 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ET
1100 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-71.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 7AM ET
400 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12AM ET
400 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.20Jun 22, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.07Jun 22, 01:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on May 18?$1.17Jun 22, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.19Jun 22, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.65Jun 22, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on May 18?$1.17May 17, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.15May 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.25May 17, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.03May 17, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.30May 17, 05:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.42May 17, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.30Mar 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.10Mar 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$5.40Mar 4, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$0.12Mar 4, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$1.81Mar 4, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.40Feb 6, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$65.92Feb 6, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$151.04Feb 6, 09:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$154.34Feb 6, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $449.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.