Thirsty-Demand
0x7b5883d0b82e2ef1203613dad5e2b19f34a5a9de
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.05
Total PnL
$-1.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$5.00Jun 19, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.21Jun 19, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$5.01Jun 19, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$40.00Feb 8, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$1.00Feb 1, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.65Feb 1, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$3.00Jan 20, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?$20.00Jan 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$1.00Dec 20, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $9.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 20, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 02:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.