Powerful-Countryside
0x7b65884878fcfa28b5e1a72edef6e3e3011af606
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$132.34
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?
42 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.04
$0.04
- NO
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?
40 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$40.16
$0.16
- NO
Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.02
$0.03
- NO
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$10.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?$42.00Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?$40.01Jun 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?$30.00Jun 10, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$10.00Jun 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?$10.00Jun 10, 14:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.01Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$14.01Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?$20.02Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?$20.02Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?$20.02Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$20.02Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of February?$24.70Jun 10, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $345 end of February?$24.63Feb 26, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?$20.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of February?$20.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of February?$20.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $160 by end of February?$20.00Feb 26, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of January?$8.02Feb 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of January?$9.25Feb 26, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of January 19 above $470?$14.03Feb 26, 09:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $27.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 14:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.