Quarterly-Voter-Reef
0x7b675a91f94c34fcddc0bab78daa6dc7d2c9b7ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-721.55
Realised
$-4.57
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
843 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
792 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6PM ET
710 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-14.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
566 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
484 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
420 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-46.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
316 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-26.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
288 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
227 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$18.01Aug 3, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$17.58Aug 3, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$16.10Aug 3, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$16.16Aug 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$16.01Aug 3, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$16.32Aug 3, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$15.55Aug 3, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$15.49Aug 3, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$14.50Aug 3, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$14.58Aug 3, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$14.33Aug 3, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$13.64Aug 3, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$12.10Aug 3, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Aug 3, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$12.84Aug 3, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$12.24Aug 3, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 14:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.