Fussy-Beat
0x7b699c06d85f849b16e0fa1feb9448f3d53442cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$94.35
Total PnL
$-403.80
Realised
$3.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
240 shares @ 37.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.38
$-22.42
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?
20 shares @ 80.9¢·now 89.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$17.95
$1.77
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.91
$0.19
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23 shares @ 15.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.67
$-0.92
- YES
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
20 shares @ 2.3¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$0.32
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
162 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.57
$-4.33
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?
300 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.45
$-33.05
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
200 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.40
$-62.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?
100 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.15
$-14.35
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?
50 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.10
$-3.40
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.66Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- REWARD$2.38Jun 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$71.00Jun 25, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$29.00Jun 25, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$30.97Jun 25, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3.65Jun 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$1.88Jun 25, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$41.00Jun 25, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released on July 16, 2026?$16.18Jun 25, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$14.06Jun 25, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$11.00Jun 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.77Jun 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$27.00Jun 25, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$0.37Jun 25, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.40Jun 25, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.40Jun 25, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$0.76Jun 25, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$15.96Jun 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$7.98Jun 25, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$13.30Jun 25, 07:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.