Yawning-Freak
0x7b70f38a7fe4f0bab4acbde79e5a0d2294f1b4d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.0K
Realised
$-172.73
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
1136 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-460.43
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 21?
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
388 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
335 shares @ 57.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-193.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
265 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
256 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
251 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-61.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
225 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-101.25
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$60.00Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$31.05Jul 21, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$20.59Jul 21, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$39.22Jul 21, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$20.69Jul 21, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$61.22Jul 20, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$31.07Jul 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$20.81Jul 20, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$37.74Jul 20, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$20.66Jul 20, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$28.17Jul 19, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$20.41Jul 19, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$36.36Jul 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$20.63Jul 18, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$35.71Jul 16, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$20.62Jul 16, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$52.96Jul 14, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$30.88Jul 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$32.58Jul 13, 12:30 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.28Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $70.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.