Nervous-Diamond
0x7b71e46f02dab6565b39f62d6c3ce08761d226d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.78
Realised
$-86.19
Win rate
5%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
671 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-14.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
231 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
24 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
19 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
19 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
19 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
18 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
18 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
11 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
11 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$6.59Aug 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$9.32Aug 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.08Aug 20, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$4.09Aug 20, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$22.83Aug 20, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$6.68Aug 20, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$8.59Aug 20, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$21.38Aug 20, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$10.00Aug 20, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$6.28Aug 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$9.00Aug 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$9.91Aug 20, 04:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$15.00Aug 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$9.91Aug 20, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$4.95Aug 20, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$15.00Aug 20, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$4.95Aug 20, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$9.91Aug 20, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$16.28Aug 20, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$4.86Aug 20, 03:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
50/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
5% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $7.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.