Well-Worn-Reality
0x7b789d42e668052f951625f4408dac3c158cf26d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$11.79
Total PnL
$-272.38
Realised
$84.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
NATO dissolves before 2027?
251 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.79
$-18.21
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 10?
2709 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-88.19
- YES
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?
350 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-23.68
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
246 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-81.30
- YES
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
179 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?
170 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Germany join the Board of Peace?$0.00Apr 6, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$81.30Jan 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?$20.00Jan 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$101.30Jan 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.04Jan 23, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$1.05Jan 22, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?$40.00Jan 21, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?$54.49Jan 21, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany join the Board of Peace?$40.00Jan 21, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$100.00Jan 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$100.00Jan 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$20.00Jan 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO dissolves before 2027?$30.00Jan 21, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?$3.00Jan 21, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3.00Jan 17, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$49.95Jan 15, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$18.92Jan 15, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$40.00Jan 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$20.00Jan 15, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $49.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 23, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".