Gigantic-Hope
0x7b7cd0ed58387a1da5370e838ffb5944b4b19874
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$588.04
Total PnL
$-47.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$327.37
$52.27
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
550 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$222.83
$-52.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.79
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.39
$-0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.38
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 21?
9 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$9.27
$-0.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 21?$9.40May 20, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?$9.80May 20, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?$9.40May 20, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on May 21?$9.40May 20, 08:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 15?$9.83May 16, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 15?$9.22May 16, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 15?$9.73May 16, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 15?$9.43May 15, 18:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on May 15?$9.20May 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 67°F or below on May 15?$9.80May 14, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 15?$9.70May 14, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 15?$9.40May 14, 06:13 UTC
- MERGEWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$30.00May 14, 06:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $38.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 08:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".