Lone-Respect
0x7b811124b6ffe746c9e9818b2815081f297e4754
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-381.79
Realised
$3.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 22?
5516 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 21?
1481 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
1061 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 20?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 20?
722 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?
603 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 20?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 22?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$3.51Jun 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$0.47Jun 18, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$0.17Jun 18, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$0.20Jun 18, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 28?$2.00Jan 28, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 28?$1.00Jan 28, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 60 days or more?$3.00Jan 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?$1.00Jan 26, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 26?$15.00Jan 26, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 26?$2.00Jan 26, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 26?$1.00Jan 26, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?$3.00Jan 25, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 27?$16.23Jan 25, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,800 January 19-25?$12.72Jan 25, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.76Jan 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$5.00Jan 24, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 24, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on January 25?$1.00Jan 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 25?$1.00Jan 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 25?$1.00Jan 24, 19:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.