Pleasant-Pole
0x7b8264f86a99a73a2a3703d51684218eaa218aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-31.67
Realised
$2.91
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 21?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 21?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
29 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
14 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
11 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
5 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Mar 31, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3.27Mar 31, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$2.00Mar 31, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.05Mar 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2.00Mar 30, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$0.00Mar 30, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.73Mar 30, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.23Mar 30, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.14Mar 30, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$0.12Mar 30, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.18Mar 30, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.06Mar 30, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.00Mar 30, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.