Accomplished-Property
0x7b842c1f82f598a654865d7a223cf2b52209a13e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-547.21
Realised
$-543.10
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
1503 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.5K
$-5.06
- NO
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?
502 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$500.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?
463 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$462.56
$0.23
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
252 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$251.38
$0.38
- NO
Will Netflix Game Controller be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.51
$3.51
- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
11 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$11.11
$0.10
- WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$10.57
$0.57
- YES
Will the Florida Panthers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$10.13
$0.13
- NO
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$9.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$10.01Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)$18.02Jul 29, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$281.72Jul 29, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals$10.04Jul 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$1.00Jul 29, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$100.69Jul 29, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$1.33Jul 29, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?$461.02Jul 29, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)$18.00Jul 29, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 28?$574.64Jul 29, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally?$39.04Jul 29, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Tele-Rally?$39.04Jul 29, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$101.15Jul 29, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$179.01Jul 29, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMKuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Ishaq11 Kasaragod vs Kochi Lions$88.99Jul 29, 00:30 UTC
- REDEEMThe Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants$101.81Jul 29, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$101.08Jul 29, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Voter ID" during Tele-Rally?$39.00Jul 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during Tele-Rally?$39.00Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on July 28?$13.99Jul 28, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $85.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.