Wallet digest

active

Activity score

31/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.6K

Realised

$-683.03

Win rate

74 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UP
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
83 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-18.23
UP
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
66 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026
$0.00
$-30.20
UP
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
62 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1AM ET
50 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026
$0.00
$-26.65
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
46 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026
$0.00
$-20.73
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
40 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$0.00
$-18.80
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
35 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$0.00
$-16.54
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
34 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$0.00
$-15.11
UP
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
30 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-14.33
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
30 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026
$0.00
$-13.14

Recent activity

TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$2.60Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.09Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.51Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.38Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.00Jun 2, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2.90Jun 2, 14:30 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.27Jun 2, 14:30 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.00Jun 2, 14:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.37Jun 2, 13:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$1.58Jun 2, 13:35 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$3.70Jun 2, 13:35 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.50Jun 2, 13:35 UTC
REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.00Jun 1, 12:34 UTC
REDEEMBNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$5.00Jun 1, 12:19 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.45Jun 1, 12:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$3.45Jun 1, 12:10 UTC
REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Jun 1, 11:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$3.85Jun 1, 11:45 UTC
TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$4.10Jun 1, 11:40 UTC
TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$3.70Jun 1, 11:40 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

68/100

read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

3% win rate over 74 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.

Resolved-only track record

pass

74 closed markets, 3% win rate.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry95 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk25 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $2.73
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jun 1, 08:20 UTC
Last active: Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
Win rate sample: 74 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 07:13:48 UTC·src:Polymarket Data