Stingy-Abbey-Play
0x7b86a328c243cc777a6ed63351dab22c287e8f57
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-56.98
Realised
$-27.00
Win rate
0%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
2 shares @ 64.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.00Jun 21, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.05Jun 21, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.45Jun 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.03Jun 21, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.02Jun 21, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.05Jun 21, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.18Jun 21, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Jun 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$1.02Jun 21, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$1.01Jun 21, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.01Jun 21, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.67Jun 21, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$1.03Jun 21, 05:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.01Jun 21, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1.00Jun 21, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$1.33Jun 21, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 09:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.