Content-Boysenberry
0x7b89e13ed9d50428c466c6557c930ab17e4eddae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$95.31
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
119 shares @ 4.2¢·now 14.1¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$16.73
$11.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
85 shares @ 5.9¢·now 14.1¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$11.91
$6.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 12.4¢·exp Aug 25, 2026$11.32
$6.34
- NO
Will Mamdani say "Heat" or "Weather" during his announcement?
16 shares @ 79.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.03
$-1.69
- NO
Will Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 44.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$6.47
$1.47
- YES
Will Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his announcement?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.84
$0.85
- YES
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$5.44
$0.45
- YES
Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
9 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$5.39
$-0.73
- NO
Will Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$5.11Aug 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$5.21Aug 19, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$6.20Aug 19, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$8.44Aug 19, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh’s remarks not air?$4.54Aug 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh’s remarks not air?$0.48Aug 19, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$5.07Aug 19, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$5.13Aug 19, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani say "Trump" or "President" during his announcement?$5.08Aug 19, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$4.41Aug 19, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?$0.62Aug 19, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?$31.25Aug 19, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.10Aug 19, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.25Aug 19, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.36Aug 19, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.34Aug 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.27Aug 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.00Aug 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.06Aug 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jillian Balow be the WY-AL Republican nominee?$0.10Aug 19, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.