Friendly-Proposal
0x7b8bb848ab167b405faa13d2a64a6477963f0fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?
1005 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 January 26-1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
6 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 24?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.01Mar 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,600 January 26-1?$1.00Feb 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$1.00Feb 2, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$0.00Dec 26, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$1.05Dec 26, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1.00Dec 26, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$1.00Dec 25, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 24?$1.00Dec 24, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Dec 24, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on December 23?$3.33Dec 24, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?$1.00Dec 23, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$1.00Dec 23, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on December 23?$1.00Dec 23, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on December 23?$1.00Dec 23, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$2.00Dec 22, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$1.00Dec 22, 20:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 12:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".