Elliptical-Armrest
0x7b8fcc3491a7b47d72b82bd8dd0778073a532ce5
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$16.45
Total PnL
$-2.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
16 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$16.45
$0.21
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 8?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 November 3-9?
73 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?$16.24Dec 22, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 7?$25.10Dec 22, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 November 3-9?$1.00Nov 8, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 8?$1.00Nov 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on November 7?$25.00Nov 7, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$10.60Nov 7, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 4?$11.11Nov 7, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 4?$12.17Nov 7, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$12.31Nov 7, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?$15.17Nov 7, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 4?$11.00Nov 4, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on November 4?$12.00Nov 3, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$10.17Nov 3, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?$15.00Nov 1, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?$12.17Nov 1, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$5.20Nov 1, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$25.03Nov 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$25.00Oct 31, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?$5.10Oct 29, 15:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $12.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.