Unknown-Oeuvre-Suitcase
0x7b9b8f0bf3ab736fd5636131943247bc0dcdab53
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$-361.78
Win rate
1%
97 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
1780 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-396.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
1228 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-420.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
1210 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
883 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
807 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-410.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
633 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-160.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
524 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
485 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-116.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
475 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
435 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-98.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$48.33Jul 22, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$52.52Jul 22, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$100.71Jul 22, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$50.10Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$4.19Jul 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.29Jul 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.22Jul 16, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$15.31Jul 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.13Jul 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.10Jul 16, 20:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$7.14Jul 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.12Jul 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.10Jul 16, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.03Jul 15, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$96.58Jul 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$45.13Jul 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$45.17Jul 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$4.18Jul 15, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.26Jul 15, 20:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 97 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
97 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $92.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 97 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.