Probable-Graft
0x7b9fb07b56d58fe1f1dfea5a5792d2d8c320e145
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-169.02
Realised
$-1.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?
3936 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-37.99
- NO
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?
3842 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2025$0.00
$-66.70
- YES
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times March 21-28?
590 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.63
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times March 21-28?
323 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will 'Minecraft' gross more than 70m on opening weekend?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?
235 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will 'Minecraft' gross between 64-70m on opening weekend?
153 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times March 28 - April 4?
125 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 120-129 times April 4 - 11?$5.00Apr 9, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 110-119 times April 4 - 11?$5.01Apr 9, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 110-119 times April 4 - 11?$1.00Apr 9, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 110-119 times April 4 - 11?$3.00Apr 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?$1.25Apr 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?$2.05Apr 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 350-374 times April 4 - 11?$11.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times April 4 - 11?$10.00Apr 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Apr 7, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$11.67Apr 7, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?$16.70Apr 5, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be more than 60?$1.00Apr 5, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$13.00Apr 4, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Apr 4, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "A Minecraft Movie" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30 and 40?$3.00Apr 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?$20.00Apr 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?$5.00Apr 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross more than 120m on opening weekend?$30.00Apr 4, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?$91.04Apr 4, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Minecraft' gross less than 90m on opening weekend?$17.00Apr 3, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.