Ringed-Presentation
0x7ba01ad3906625cd2699e2275229e3d4d8e2a694
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$95.05
Total PnL
$-121.34
Realised
$6.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 6?
95 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$95.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
105 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
105 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
105 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
105 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
105 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.25
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
105 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.75
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on July 6?$95.00Jul 4, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$52.50Jul 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$7.00Jul 2, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$15.75Jul 2, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$7.00Jul 2, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$15.00Jul 1, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$17.00Jun 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$2.53Jun 30, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$7.58Jun 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$16.42Jun 30, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$0.66Jun 30, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$5.72Jun 30, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?$24.02Jun 23, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 22?$24.00Jun 21, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$50.00Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$28.12Jun 16, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$20.89Jun 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.13Jun 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.87Jun 14, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$7.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.