Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-774.37

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 52

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
110 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
109 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
108 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
107 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
102 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
102 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
102 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025
$0.00
$-30.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
95 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025
$0.00
$-24.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
86 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025
$0.00
$-24.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$9.00Oct 16, 07:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$15.00Oct 16, 06:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$15.00Oct 16, 02:11 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$7.50Oct 15, 22:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$15.00Oct 15, 22:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$2.70Oct 15, 22:04 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$15.00Oct 15, 20:12 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$15.00Oct 15, 20:10 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$15.00Oct 15, 15:59 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$50.00Oct 15, 15:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 15:20 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.35Oct 15, 14:28 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.80Oct 15, 14:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:05 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$15.00Oct 15, 14:03 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry38 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 42
Avg trade size: $12.04
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 14, 20:47 UTC
Last active: Oct 16, 07:05 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:06:59 UTC·src:Polymarket Data