Timely-Cephalopod
0x7ba8726e6b79adc7697da00b6a02fa4a5b73ff1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-70.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
75 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.04
$-8.96
- YES
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$9.00Dec 22, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $79000 on Apr 25?$2.00Apr 20, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?$10.00Apr 20, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end HPV vaccine recommendation in 2025?$10.00Apr 20, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?$10.00Apr 20, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?$10.00Apr 20, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?$20.00Apr 20, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Vaccine" during Friday address?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Friday address?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMMonkeypox pandemic in 2024?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. say "Brain Worm" during Friday address?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMGold missing from Fort Knox?$0.00Apr 20, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$20.00Feb 20, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$4.00Feb 20, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?$27.78Feb 20, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$1.00Sep 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$1.00Aug 23, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. say "Vaccine" during Friday address?$1.00Aug 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Friday address?$1.00Aug 23, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $7.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 22, 05:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".