Hospitable-Progression
0x7bae1ab184d7ba62f4eac2d300d99887af99ced6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.04
Total PnL
$-56.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- UNDER
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
55 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
22 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
14 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
14 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$0.54Feb 5, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.57Feb 5, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$2.86Jan 27, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Timberwolves$6.00Jan 25, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$4.00Jan 25, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.00Jan 25, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$13.59Jan 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$8.00Jan 25, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$6.35Jan 25, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.00Jan 25, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$4.00Jan 25, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.00Jan 25, 15:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 08:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".