Annual-Ruin
0x7bae3390a1f866d3a0899a902bf35b6eff97326b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$152.20
Total PnL
$-97.30
Realised
$2.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.45
$23.75
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$32.00
$21.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.25
$-2.75
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
305 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $80B and $90B at market close on IPO day?
300 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.81Jun 19, 19:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 15, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $11.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.