Reflecting-Dugout
0x7bb34fd44a9bf440cff307758d4e5a0f1051641f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-711.32
Realised
$-266.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$32.71Nov 17, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?$1.0KNov 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeannette Jara come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$6.52Nov 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$23.39Nov 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$22.71Nov 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$2.29Nov 16, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$63.75Nov 16, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$2.75Nov 16, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$2.85Nov 16, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?$36.63Nov 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?$8.57Nov 16, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?$631.82Nov 16, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0.09Nov 16, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$4.84Nov 16, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0.32Nov 16, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0.05Nov 16, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$0.02Nov 16, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$9.04Nov 16, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$145.70Nov 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 16, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $84.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 22:32 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.