Few-Instrumentalist
0x7bb3eac5ae98ecba4e83eb10fa45323e114c9b67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-375.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
335 shares @ 80.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 11AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
43 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?
43 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
23 shares @ 65.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
10 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
6 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.33Dec 18, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$270.00Dec 18, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?$18.52Dec 18, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?$15.00Dec 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" while addressing the nation on December 17?$15.00Dec 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Venezuela" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "ISIS" or "Syria" while addressing the nation on December 17?$10.00Dec 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1AM ET$252.90Dec 17, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1AM ET$235.63Dec 17, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$280.61Dec 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$275.00Dec 17, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$210.00Dec 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$195.30Dec 17, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$260.20Dec 17, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$255.00Dec 17, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$257.58Dec 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$255.00Dec 15, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$252.53Dec 15, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$250.00Dec 15, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$253.01Dec 15, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $142.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 14, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.