Grouchy-Margin
0x7bb4af8c017bc881c103c1e3e8de9cf316df9f05
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$36.97
Total PnL
$0.31
Realised
$-3.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- CHELSEA FC
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)
18 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$18.00
$1.62
- UNDER
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5
18 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$18.00
$0.90
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
3 shares @ 4.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.97
$0.84
- YES
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
1 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5$17.13May 30, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)$16.42May 19, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Pisa SC (-1.5)$20.00May 19, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pisa SC (-1.5)$19.03May 10, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$2.70Mar 19, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$0.24Mar 19, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$5.14Mar 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?$8.25Mar 19, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$30.98Mar 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$60.41Mar 19, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?$93.60Mar 19, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.5KMar 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.5KMar 19, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$31.09Mar 18, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$32.06Mar 18, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$6.38Mar 18, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.4KMar 18, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.4KMar 18, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$32.55Mar 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xavier Iturralde win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?$34.06Mar 18, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $315.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 07:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.