Far-Off-Peninsula
0x7bbf1b4aab06d3f0fdc3cf24d90bc5d5b32907d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.63
Total PnL
$-508.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?
114 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.63
$-2.37
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
526 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
267 shares @ 37.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 6-7%?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump do better with LGTBQ voters than in 2020?
175 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
78 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
28 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Isaac del Toro win the 2026 Tour De France?$3.09Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$4.66Jul 9, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$9.37Jun 30, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$9.91Jun 30, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$9.53Jun 29, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-29?$9.92Jun 29, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$13.07Jun 27, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-26?$9.88Jun 27, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$4.20Jun 26, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$7.99Jun 24, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$14.84Jun 24, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$9.91Jun 24, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$7.14Jun 24, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$9.90Jun 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.39Jun 22, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$1.29Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.01Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.90Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.09Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-22?$0.00Jun 22, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $6.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 20:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.