Upset-Bough
0x7bc574af8aac2b1f6d473dec2039d26eb6b04626
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$22.55
Total PnL
$-72.5K
Realised
$-12.72
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$22.55
$-0.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
3166 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-930.79
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
3150 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-976.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3133 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- NERMAN FATIC
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Nerman Fatic
3000 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- GRIZZLIES
Grizzlies vs. Bucks
2965 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-830.19
- UNDER 2.5
Kamil Majchrzak vs. Miomir Kecmanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
2900 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
2799 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- TOM PARIS
Wuning: Tom Paris vs Ilia Simakin
2600 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-805.99
- TAMARA KORPATSCH
Madrid Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Tamara Korpatsch
2600 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan Ngoy be in Belgium's Starting 11?$18.80Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.94Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.40Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.52Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.06Jun 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.08Jun 13, 10:10 UTC
- REWARD$23.05Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?$0.49Jun 12, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$20.00Jun 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$5.88Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?$0.50Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?$0.50Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lindsey Graham win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate Primary by 20–30%?$5.50Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$4.61Jun 12, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?$18.43Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$53.51Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$98.97Jun 12, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.32Jun 12, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$4.00Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$3.60Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.