Radiant-Fool
0x7bd5430c445f670367481488ee6eb48b416f6943
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Mamdani visit the White House by December 31?
10053 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-887.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
9498 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
6250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5917 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
5273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.91
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?
2434 shares @ 54.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
2143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
1829 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1706 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-186.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$101.86May 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$200.00May 21, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$186.00Apr 15, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?$23.27Jan 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$23.27Jan 20, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 20, 2026?$45.83Jan 20, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$45.83Jan 20, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 17, 2026?$1.3KJan 17, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?$640.74Jan 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$500.00Jan 13, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?$500.00Jan 12, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?$1.7KJan 12, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 12, 2026?$1.5KJan 12, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$0.00Jan 12, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?$421.30Jan 12, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$4.00Jan 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?$2.00Jan 11, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?$260.00Jan 11, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?$1.4KJan 11, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $445.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 15:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".