These-Mover
0x7bdeab151b9265a89f9c2a3261e68c6a1c948c91
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6M
Realised
$37.4K
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?
730802 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-347.8K
- STRUFF
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff
679039 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-45.1K
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-21?
400735 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-200.4K
- NO
Will AS Monaco FC vs. OGC Nice end in a draw?
317535 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-127.0K
- NO
Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
266570 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-53.3K
- NO
Will Lille win on 2025-10-02?
266237 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-138.4K
- NO
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-05?
248162 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-99.2K
- ALIASSIME
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Felix Auger Aliassime
215605 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.1K
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
184184 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-62.1K
- FRITZ
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritz
167767 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2025$0.00
$-33.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?$2.9KFeb 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$147.50Feb 7, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$93.80Feb 7, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?$431.48Feb 7, 11:23 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.15Feb 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.01Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.3KFeb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$2.91Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$125.28Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$31.32Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$3.00Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$43.50Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.70Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.35Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$17.40Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.35Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.53Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.70Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$0.97Feb 6, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $118.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 19:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.