Essential-Variation
0x7be1a7c2f2cc3868aead28e4f0ed454793a86f94
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$159.29
Total PnL
$-60.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 31?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$16.03
$6.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on July 31?
12 shares @ 83.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.88
$1.88
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 1?
15 shares @ 67.5¢·now 79.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.71
$1.71
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 31?
12 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.61
$1.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.52
$1.52
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 1?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.74
$0.74
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 2?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?
17 shares @ 59.3¢·now 58.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 31?$18.51Jul 31, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 2?$10.08Jul 31, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?$10.11Jul 31, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 30?$0.00Jul 31, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 31?$12.03Jul 31, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 31?$12.29Jul 31, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 31?$14.35Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 31?$14.67Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 31?$15.12Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 31?$15.06Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 31?$15.93Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 31?$20.73Jul 31, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 1?$10.08Jul 31, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 1?$10.13Jul 31, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 30?$0.00Jul 31, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 31?$16.92Jul 31, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1?$10.15Jul 31, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 1?$10.20Jul 31, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 1?$10.06Jul 31, 04:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?$11.22Jul 31, 04:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $12.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.