Old-Fashioned-Sphere
0x7be34f32d9c0def5453537c81844ff148eb7afa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-532.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 14?
1909 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 13?
1763 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be less than 75%?
1418 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-48.20
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by November 30?
660 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-72.47
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 10?
566 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-110.85
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?
509 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-55.88
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 15?
456 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Thailand next strike Cambodia on December 11?
333 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
237 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?$9.86Jan 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?$9.86Jan 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?$13.39Jan 18, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win less than 12% of votes in the first round?$6.10Jan 18, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19.50Jan 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike Syria next?$15.94Jan 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Syria next?$59.42Jan 17, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$59.42Jan 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$39.95Jan 16, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$39.95Jan 16, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$31.70Jan 10, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?$36.02Jan 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?$36.02Jan 1, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?$30.52Jan 1, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?$30.52Jan 1, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces new drug boat strike by January 10?$22.39Dec 31, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly three announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$22.40Dec 31, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$12.49Dec 29, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly three announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?$20.26Dec 26, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?$20.27Dec 26, 17:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $67.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 00:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 18, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".