Subtle-Cenotaph
0x7be4798850f64e1fb99e158d092495c0a357c73c
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
126
Open notional
$27.24
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-91.90
Win rate
32%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 126- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
17 shares @ 7.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$16.87
$15.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$7.41
$5.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$2.96
$0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
17660 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-50.42
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
13551 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-47.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
11372 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-24.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
10251 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-20.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
9442 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-41.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
8657 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-36.37
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
7439 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-23.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 7?$2.06Mar 7, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 8?$0.35Mar 7, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 8?$0.45Mar 7, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 8?$0.53Mar 7, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 8?$0.11Mar 7, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 8?$0.56Mar 7, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.52Mar 6, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.69Mar 6, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.69Mar 6, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.13Mar 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.03Mar 6, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.36Mar 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.52Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$1.90Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2.54Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.57Mar 6, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$0.99Mar 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2.54Mar 6, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$2.54Mar 6, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 7, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".