Long-Porcupine
0x7beea0291c7ba1220deea7e707d5bc08928f2c4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.13
Realised
$-2.92
Win rate
2%
41 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - August 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - August 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
96 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.09Aug 21, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.06Aug 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.46Aug 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$2.08Aug 21, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$2.05Aug 21, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.75Aug 21, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.03Aug 21, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$1.96Aug 21, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$2.04Aug 21, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$2.13Aug 21, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$2.08Aug 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$2.08Aug 21, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Aug 21, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$8.70Aug 21, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 41 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
41 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 01:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 41 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.