Grandiose-Footnote
0x7beffef0546e049a84ee98ad630638e9c24bc839
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
103
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- CLIPPERS
Grizzlies vs. Clippers
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- CELTA VIGO
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)
2991 shares @ 69.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UNDER
Magic vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
1554 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- UTAH
Utah vs. Ducks
806 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-551.53
- OILERS
Kings vs. Oilers
651 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-396.92
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
593 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-534.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET
505 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?
390 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-378.31
- NO
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-10-23?
317 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-301.00
- DODGERS
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks
309 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-301.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$290.00Jun 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$92.00Jun 15, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$195.73Jun 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?$87.48Jun 15, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$299.69Jun 15, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$296.10Jun 15, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$133.45Jun 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$160.84Jun 14, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$25.35Jun 14, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$162.04Jun 14, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$93.97Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$300.00Jun 14, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$250.27Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET$500.35Jun 9, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$707.07Jun 9, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$700.49Jun 9, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$402.08Jun 8, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$398.34Jun 8, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$303.48Jun 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$300.24Jun 8, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $182.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.