Zany-Dependent-Walker
0x7bf62398e9a200c5ead5939a14b50ccb28a2342e
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$94.66
Total PnL
$-8.34
Realised
$12.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
47 shares @ 50.7¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.96
$1.31
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
16 shares @ 73.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$12.69
$0.74
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$10.12
$0.33
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.59
$-0.10
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$7.37
$1.32
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
31 shares @ 44.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.27
$-7.34
- YES
Josué Duverger: 3+ saves
10 shares @ 11.0¢·now 47.9¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$4.79
$3.69
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.07
$-1.98
- YES
Munir El Kajoui: 3+ saves
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 47.6¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.38
$1.83
- YES
Josué Duverger: 4+ saves
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 47.4¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$2.37
$1.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-2.5)$10.00Jun 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$1.01Jun 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$5.56Jun 23, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$4.85Jun 23, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.11Jun 23, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.99Jun 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$0.71Jun 23, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$8.01Jun 23, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$4.43Jun 23, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.11Jun 23, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$6.28Jun 23, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.99Jun 23, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.99Jun 23, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$2.00Jun 23, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.