Bare-Dwelling
0x7bf8a3a340ead5f7b6fea0a59e7b4230af2ca428
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.6K
Realised
$256.36
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 9PM ET
878 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-175.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
791 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-95.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
666 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-45.77
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 19?
643 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-149.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
639 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-59.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
558 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-337.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
548 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-216.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
509 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-295.55
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
442 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-241.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
427 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-76.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7AM ET$86.00Jul 20, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$52.48Jul 20, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$52.03Jul 20, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 7AM ET$44.51Jul 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$16.00Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$20.00Jul 20, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$3.00Jul 20, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$25.48Jul 20, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$11.55Jul 20, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$1.65Jul 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$1.65Jul 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$1.65Jul 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$1.65Jul 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET$1.65Jul 20, 10:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$54.35Jul 20, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.94Jul 20, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.50Jul 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$20.63Jul 20, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 19?$95.04Jul 20, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 7PM ET$96.78Jul 19, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $29.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.