0x7bffd4cfca8f479c2f9b15ad76e2da3b7caf336d
0x7bffd4cfca8f479c2f9b15ad76e2da3b7caf336d
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.36
Total PnL
$-25.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
XRP Up or Down on July 25?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2026$2.38
$1.38
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.3¢·now 68.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
37 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.65
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.82Jul 25, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2.63Jul 25, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on July 25?$1.05Jul 25, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$1.04Jul 25, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02Jul 25, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$1.05Jul 25, 06:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$1.07Jul 21, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$77.38Jul 20, 04:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $3.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.