Jagged-Nougat
0x7c024bb95d0dfc5d6fe6eebcd663fce23d047555
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$5.06
Total PnL
$-184.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
115 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.52
$0.52
- NO
Will there be 4+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?
41 shares @ 31.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$1.54
$-11.04
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
159 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
80 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-55.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NEPAL
T20 World Cup: England vs Nepal (Game 1)
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- ENGLAND
T20 World Cup: England vs India
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- FLYQUEST
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
20 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4+ trades in the first round of the 2026 NBA Draft?$12.58Jun 24, 03:36 UTC
- REWARD$11.14Jun 24, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$12.03Jun 23, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$9.77Jun 23, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.23Jun 23, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?$1.74Jun 23, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 23?$1.80Jun 23, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$3.55Jun 23, 02:22 UTC
- REWARD$10.83Jun 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-22? AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1.02Jun 22, 17:05 UTC
- REWARD$12.03Jun 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.08Jun 21, 05:15 UTC
- REWARD$5.68Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?$3.70Jun 19, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?$6.65Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?$6.45Jun 19, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?$3.86Jun 19, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?$27.63Jun 19, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?$4.20Jun 19, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 19?$14.34Jun 19, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 03:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.