Salty-Will-Debris
0x7c194c28a6ce3f0293555356ee6122806929cd48
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
174
Open notional
$76.80
Total PnL
$-611.00
Realised
$-1.72
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 174- YES
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 in July?
192 shares @ 45.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$76.80
$-9.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 21?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 21?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?
20 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
6 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
6 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
6 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Jul 5, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.39Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$29.65Jul 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$0.09Jul 4, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill more than 10 of these AIPAC endorsees lose their primaries?$0.08Jul 4, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$0.62Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$2.24Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$2.90Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Newmont (NEM) Q2 total attributable gold production be above 1,300 koz?$8.80Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$115.31Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$163.69Jul 4, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$0.73Jul 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.46Jul 4, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?$4.99Jul 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$7.98Jul 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James sign his next NBA contract on July 6?$18.62Jul 4, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$151.68Jul 4, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$189.83Jul 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$0.33Jul 4, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $222 in July?$86.40Jul 4, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $26.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 19:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.