Salty-Will-Debris
0x7c194c28a6ce3f0293555356ee6122806929cd48
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
179
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-33.27
Win rate
1%
176 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 179- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
7800 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-44.50
- YES
France vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
6624 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
100 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 21?
50 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- NO
Over $6M committed to the Squid public sale?
40 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 21?
40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?
20 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- YES
Will Çilekler Win the Challengers 2026: EMEA Last Chance Qualifier?
18 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?$9.54Aug 20, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?$14.74Aug 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?$0.96Aug 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?$14.74Aug 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Liquid Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?$0.57Aug 20, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Falcons Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?$11.53Aug 20, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?$43.87Aug 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?$2.56Aug 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons Win the Fortnite EWC 2026?$14.63Aug 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?$5.83Aug 20, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?$13.43Aug 20, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?$6.80Aug 20, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?$37.00Aug 20, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?$7.20Aug 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?$14.80Aug 20, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?$7.20Aug 20, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?$38.00Aug 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?$6.31Aug 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?$8.50Aug 20, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eastern Europe & CIS region win The International 2026?$14.20Aug 20, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 176 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
176 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 176 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.